Despite mounting economic risks, investors remain optimistic that a severe downturn will be avoided. However, complacency historically arises right before bear markets begin. Consensus outlooks still forecast a “soft landing.” While growth is slowing, expectations see...

History shows midterm elections tend to coincide with stock market gains regardless of the broader trend. Several dynamics may contribute to this phenomenon. In midterm years since World War II, the S&P 500 has averaged 16% returns with positive results an overwhelming 80% of the time...